What happened at the Table?
Hand repeated for convenience
|
North South |
You have 2 possible lines
1. Simply draw trumps and play a club to
the king then finesse the club 10 to set
up a discard for your losing diamond.
2. After 2 trumps, lead a club to the King.
If this holds, return to table with a trump
and take the heart finesse, ditch a club
on the heart ace, ruff a heart, cash diamond
A K and exit with a club. East with 2 diamonds
or less is end played to give you a ruff
and discard.
Declarer took line one and went off as East
had the club jack.
In fact, the actual probability of success
for line 2 is over 80% (mathematics supplied
on request!). As East has 7 hearts, one trump and at
least A x in clubs, there are only 3 vacant
places left for diamonds and any remaining
clubs. The club finesse, however, is only
70%
So line 2 is the winner.
.